Welcome to the new world. I think the EU will die of overregulation, subsidies and stupidity. It is similar with American ETFs, until last year you were allowed to buy an ETF, now there is a new stupid regulation that requires ETF issuer to provide a "KIID" document localized into the language of the client to inform him about the risks of the fund. Let me show how retarded this is:︀
- there are 24 official languages in EU, the ETF issuer would have to create a︁ document for each fund and then translate it so hundreds of new PDFs
- this fucking︂ information is publicly available on hundreds of websites, go to etf.com or morningstar.com or finance.yahoo.com︃ and you will find 10x more detailed information about any ETF you want, much better︄ presented and more info than in this KIID document
- this regulation is supposed to "protect"︅ retail customers from investing into "highly speculative" instruments such as ETF which is nice because︆ an index ETF with 0.1% fee may be just ideal for a customer but that︇ is banned. On the other hand, a shitty local fund with 3% entry fee and︈ 2% TIR yearly fee is allowed to be sold and it doesn't even need and︉ "KIID" document at all because it is distributed through a "financial advisor" (read as salesman).︊
What exactly are "passive hedge funds"? Did you mean to say passive index funds/ETFs? I imagine hedge fund like "clever" guys doing stockpicking, options, shorting, leveraging - doing all this and trying to beat the market while taking the standard "2+20%" commission.
Passive funds on the other hands I imagine like an average guy opening a Robinhood account and putting it all into VTSAX or even worse SPY.
I don't know how a "passive hedge fund" would work.
It may be true but there were people︃ saying exactly this ("everything is overvalued") 4 years ago. If they stayed out of the︄ market, they missed at least 50% gains. The problem is that there is too much︅ cheap money in the economy (both euros and dollars), so logically people put it into︆ real estate (via REIT), stocks (via ETFs), if you are desperate you put it into︇ bonds.
Is that going to change in the near future? Is there any good reason︈ why more money would STOP flowing into stocks? If you have zero or negative interest︉ on your bank account, that may motivate people to actually put MORE money into an︊ index fund.
In my opinion having 100% cash would be stupid. I'm not saying there︋ isn't an "everything bubble" but it may go on for longer than you think, Trump︌ getting reelected may have big impact on it.
Many things are overvalued (S&P500, Nasdaq...) but︍ staying out of the market sounds boring.
I'm thinking of dividing some free cash into:︎
- low volatility world ETF
- Bitcoin
- physical gold and gold miners stock
- US treasuries if there is nothing better