For the most part, this is merely tracing Global Liquidity *still*.
Biden admin juiced the system via QE & YCC to try and provide a facade that all was well under his tenure, at the same time, ramped up Federal Employees to hide the obvious, the sum of which was a 6T$ injection into the markets via the back door.
These funds were starting to be drained in September, as they take approx. 13 weeks to seep through the markets (GL), it was a gradual decline, until it was know the election was lost, by the time Trump entered office it was sub 1T$, with how the Treasury had been rolling debt (short-term-YCC) this coupled with the 6T$ that needs to be rolled left Trump with little choice than continue, but more importantly find a way to pressure overseas countries/entities to A) Invest in the US, B) Buy long-term Treasuries as the 10Y Treasuries has been pretty much forced down peoples throats (commercial) and that unravelled in 2023 and no one was interested in duration risk.
So what you are seeing is the stick, and that's tariffs as part of reducing those tariffs expect to see forced long-term treasuries picked up (which don't have deep secondary markets) as it's only nominal gains - real losses, also expect banks to have their Treasury Bond risk(s) % reduced so they can pick up more of them (forced).
Either-way the system is changing - and it (what's happened) would have happened anyway as 6T$ drained out and at the same time 6-9T$ needs to be rolled, and this is on top of the 75T$ Eurodollar market demand for $ which is supported by short-term treasuries (rolling over) annually, and domestic commercial & state based debt roll overs each of which compounds the issue that there's not enough liquidity in the market and liquidity is the thing that has destroyed 50m peoples prosperity in the US (alone).
Interesting times-ahead.
As mentioned before you can track all this on
terminal,
bloomberg terminal,
capital wars,
RV MIT Tool