No, that is not a fact. This is your opinion. Please don't mislabel opinions as facts.
If Average Joe buys S&P500 index and keeps it for 30 year reinvesting dividends and compounding he will much statistically much better off than with any hedge fund.
You think based on what? These are just feelings and that is it. I︀ don't see any quantifiable data.
No, actually you just need︄ to buy an index fund like S&P500 90% and 10% some general bond index fund,︅ rebalance annually and keep them compounding for 30 year sand you will be shocked what︆ compounding can do to portfolio. Market timing doesn't work for 99% I agree, but long︇ term investing in indices does work.
Explain to me how S&P500 can go to $0. Will be︉ interesting to read. And "Nuclear Holocaust" is not an argument. If that happens there is︊ no point in anything anymore.
1. This is not︍ guaranteed.
2. Yes, you can lose money. Example, you buy Mansion for 1mil$ at head︎ of market. Decade later neighbourhood is not that good anymore, mansion is older or just️ general market conditions and it sells for 700'000$. If you sell it after a decade you LOST 300'000$. Pure math.
Ok, I did look. Not many, proof:
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7e/S_and_P_500_chart_1950_to_2016_with_averages.png
You see a pattern? That is since 1950. Why do you think it keeps going up?
Because:
1) General growth of productivity
2) Globalisation
3) General growth of population
4) Devaluation of dollar
I'm not telling you market will be higher next year, after 3 or 5 years. I'm telling you if you are a long term investor with︀ 20+ years outlook horizon then general, low cost index fund and bond index fund is︁ a good route to take.
I don't disagree, but if you don't live at the properties, please tell me︅ why would you ever buy real physical real estate instead of REIT? Can you come︆ up with good arguments?