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🇧🇷🗳📊 ATLAS Intel |Presidential elections

1st Round:
⭐ Lula: 46.7% (+1.4)
🇧🇷Flávio Bolsonaro: 43.8% (+1.6)
🐯 Renan Santos: 4.6%
🗽 Augusto Cury: 2.1%
🧑‍🌾 Ronaldo Caiado: 1.4%
⚫️Others: 0.9%
⚪️Blank/Null/Don't know: 0.6%

2nd Round - Lula vs Flávio Bolsonaro

⭐ Lula: 47.6%
🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro: 47.4%​

➡️ Lula has 0.2pp more voting intention than Flávio in the 2nd round, in a technical tie within the margin of error.

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇪🇹❌🇪🇹 — Ethiopia’s ENDF troops and the allied Tigray Peace Force (TPF) have seized Mekelle town, the capital of Tigray region, after TPLF/TDF rebels evacuated from the regional capital

Footage shows Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) entering Mekelle after advancing via towns to its south, including Adi Gudom.

🇦🇪 UAE-made Calidus MCAV-20 APCs are visible alongside ENDF troops advancing north through Tigray.

 

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🇧🇷🇳🇿🗳 — Final Results in New Zealand first-round results (5 ballot boxes):

Lula 234 (70.5%)
Flávio Bolsonaro 64 (19.3%)
Renan Santos 13 (3.9%)
Zema 7 (2.1%)
Cury 6 (1.8%)
Caiado 5 (1.5%)
Samara 2 (0.6%)
Hertz Dias 1 (0.3%)

Abstention: 89.1% (339 out of 3,118)
Valid votes 451 (2022) → 332

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🇯🇵🗳 — Final Results in Japan (119 ballot boxes)

Flávio Bolsonaro 24,601 (71.7%)
Lula 5,234 (15.3%)
Augusto Cury 1,501 (4.4%)
Renan Santos 1,197 (3.5%)
Caiado 595 (1.7%)
Zema 368 (1.1%)
Others 822 (2.4%)

2022 (1st round): Jair 72.2% vs. Lula 13.5%

 

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🇧🇷🇹🇼🗳 — Final Results in Taiwan (ROC) shows a clear Flavio Bolsonaro victory

🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 48,86% (107)
🔴 Lula: 35,16% (77)
🟡 Renan Santos: 6,39% (14)
⚫ Outros: 4,11% (9)
🟣 Augusto Cury: 2,74% (6)
🟠 Romeu Zema: 1,83% (4)
🔵 Ronaldo Caiado: 0,91% (2)

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🇹🇭🗳 — Final results in the Kingdom of Thailand shows Flávio Bolsonaro winning over Lula

🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 51,52% (51)
🔴 Lula: 40,40% (40)
🟡 Renan Santos: 3,03% (3)
🟣 Escritor Augusto Cury: 3,03% (3)
🟠 Romeu Zema: 1,01% (1)
⚫ Outros: 1,01% (1)

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🇮🇩🗳 — Final Results in Jakarta, Flávio Bolsonaro won in Indonesia

🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 61,29% (19)
🔴 Lula: 25,81% (8)
🟣 Augusto Cury: 6,45% (2)
🟡 Renan Santos: 3,23% (1)
⚫ Outros: 3,23% (1)

 

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🇧🇷🇨🇳🗳 — Final results in Beijing and Canton, Lula won in Mainland China.

🔴 Lula: 65.69% (268)
🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 24.02% (98)
🟡 Renan Santos: 3.92% (16)
🟣 Writer Augusto Cury: 2.70% (11)
⚫ Others: 1.47% (6)
🔵 Ronaldo Caiado: 1.23% (5)
🟠 Romeu Zema: 0.98% (4)

 

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🇧🇷🇭🇰🗳 — Final Results in Hong Kong, Flavio Bolsonaro wins in the city-state

🟢 Flavio Bolsonaro: 105 votes
🔴 Lula: 99 votes

 

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🇧🇷🗳📝 — Brazilian President Lula da Silva dismisses the pre-elections polls showing him losing the elections:

"Every survey released yesterday, or the day before yesterday, is worth nothing!"​

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🇦🇪 — Final results in United Arab Emirates (UAE), Flavio Bolsonaro won with 48.6%

🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 659 votes
🔴 Lula: 512 votes
🟡 Renan: 64 votes
🟤 Cury: 59 votes
🟠 Zema: 27 votes
🔵 Caiado: 26 votes

 

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🇧🇷🇰🇵🗳 — Final results in Pyongyang, Lula won in North Korea

🔴 Lula: 3
🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 1

 

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🇧🇷🇪🇪🗳 — Lula wins in in the Turkic nation of Estonia

Lula: 142 votes (74.7%)
Flavio Bolsonaro: 19 votes (10%)
Augusto Cury: 9 votes (4.7%)
Renan Santos: 8 Votes (4.2%)

 

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🇧🇷🇮🇱🗳 — Flavio Bolsonaro wins a crushing victory in Israel

🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 523 votes (74.3%)
🔴 Lula: 92 votes (13.1%)
🟡 Renan: 27 votes (3.8%)
🟤 Cury: 25 votes (3.6%)
🔵 Caiado: 24 votes (3.5%)
⚫️ Others: 13 votes (1.7%)

📝 In 2022, Jair Bolsonaro received 258 votes, Lula, 234 votes, and the other candidates totaled 86 votes

➡️ Analysts suggest this is due to Lula's comments on Israel being an "apartheid state" that is "killing innocent palestinian civilians" in Gaza

 

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🇧🇷🗳 — Brazilian President Lula asks for vote from outside the polling zone

“When you're at the ballot box, don't forget the 13, which is the lucky number”​

📝 According to Brazilian laws, asking for votes or sharing your party number is a crime punishable with jail for 1 year

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🤡 — President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) was filmed throwing the Brazilian flag on the ground after posing for a photo at a polling station during the elections.

 

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🇧🇷🗳❗️— Polls in Brazil are now officially closed, despite voting still going in some zones in Brazil

 

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🇧🇷🗳📝 — Brazilian Presidential Elections, First results at 1.23%

🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 48,85% — 699.309
🌹 Lula (PT): 42,50% — 608.460
🗽 Augusto Cury (AVANTE): 3,07% — 44.002
🐯 Renan Santos (Missão): 2,47% — 35.342
🧑‍🌾 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 2,29% — 32.849
🐍 Zema (Novo): 0,42% — 6.043

 

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🇧🇷🗳📝 — Brazilian Presidential Elections, First results at 7.59%

🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 50,13% — 2.404.186
⭐ Lula (PT) 41,36%" — 1.983.679
🗽 Augusto Cury (Avante) 3,05% — 146.079
🧑‍🌾 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) 2,42% — 115.988
🐯 Renan Santos (Missão) 2,40% — 115.332
🐍 Zema (NOVO) 0,35% — 16.975
🚩 Samara (UP) 0,13% — 6.151
✝️ Clariana Barão (DC) 0,05%" — 2.492
4️⃣ Hertz Dias (PSTU) 0,04%" — 2.005
🛠 Edmilson Costa (PCB) 0,02% — 1.094
🤓 Veterinário Wilson Grassi (Democrata) 0,02% — 954
4️⃣ Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) 0,02% — 849

 

[Bellum Acta]

🇧🇷🗳 — Brazilian Presidential elections, 10.92% of sections counted.

🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) 51,09% — 6.473.688
⭐ Lula (PT) — 40,67% — 5.154.036
🗽 Escritor Augusto Cury,Avante 2,98% — 377.795
🧑‍🌾 Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) 2,40% — 304.599
🐯 Renan Santos (Missão) 2,30% — 291.990
🐍 Zema (Novo) 0,31% — 38.946
🚩 Samara (UP) 0,11% — 14.072
✝️ Clariana Barão (DC) 0,04% — 5.356
4️⃣ Hertz Dias (PSTU) 0,04% — 4.632
🛠 Edmilson Costa (PCB) 0,02% — 2.465
🤓 Veterinário Wilson Grassi (Democrata) 0,02% — 2.038
4️⃣ Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) 0,02% — 1.959