I don’t think anything like that would happen. I feel that the UAE government is well aware why everyone is there. Quite the opposite, I feel that even the substance regulations are only lip service. So now you need to have a proper office and not a flexi desk solution for your company. So they have all these empty offices. Everybody knows they don’t care.
KSA tripled the VAT - the UAE didn’t follow.
I would think they will probably implement some CIT, but it will be territorial or only apply to transactions GCC transactions. They can’t be so stupid to kill the only thing they have going for themselves.
Also, even if they introduce CIT - so what, then︀ you just use a UK LLP or some other structure that is taxed on the︁ partner level.
I’m sure the Apple Store in the Dubai Mall will survive some CIT.︂